Special Session 4: Effective Stochastic and Statistical Modeling of Multiscale Systems

نویسنده

  • Ilya Timofeyev
چکیده

The response of climate dynamics on the planetary scale to changes of various global physical parameters is an area which is being extensively studied in the contemporary atmosphere/ocean science. Recently, we developed and tested new computational algorithms for predicting the mean linear response of a chaotic dynamical system to small changes in external forcing via the fluctuation-dissipation theorem (FDT). The new methods yield greater accuracy than classical FDT methods for the linear response of a chaotic dynamical system. Here we present new results of the linear fluctuation-dissipation climate response for a more realistic model of the barotropic atmosphere on the sphere over the Earth topography. We demonstrate that the apparent lack of structural stability does not seem to pose a significant problem in practice. −→∞ ∞←−

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تاریخ انتشار 2008